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2017 MMA Betting Results

2016 turned into a fun year for me when it came to betting. I explored the merits of Fatties Gonna Fatty a bit deeper, honed in on some betting angles which I believe provide value (Prop Round Robins became a very profitable tool for me in the second half of the year), and just generally enjoyed myself. I still tracked my results for personal use, and the year ended up being slightly profitable (thanks to a 53U [!!!] winning night on November 19th which erased my prior 2016 losses and then some), which is always nice. However, 2017 will be a bit different. I’ll be a bit more judicious about the volume of my bets, and I will do my best to post my plays on here and twitter prior to every event so that anyone interested can track things alongside me.

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Yearly Results

Betting Record:
Total Stake:
Profit (Units):
ROI:

Bet Detail

Moneyline Bets:
Parlay Bets:
Prop Bets:
Round Robins:

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Event-by-Event

UFC Fight Night 103
January 15, 2017
2U RR – Oliynik Sub, Lybarger Dec, Christensen Sub, Asker Sub
1.17U to win 1U – Harris/Sherman O1.5 (-117)
1.05U to win 1U – Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger (-105)
1U RR – Rodriguez Dec, Lauzon Dec, Saunders ITD, Harris Dec
1U to win 1.33U – Drakkar Klose & Lauzon/Held O2.5 (+133)
1U to win 1.15U – Joachim Christensen & Martin/White O1.5 (+115)
1U to win 1.1U – Smoliakov/Asker O1.5 (+110)

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2014 Betting History and Results

So I bailed a little early on my betting history in 2013 when I went over to MMA Oddsbreaker to write and edit.

I’m still over there doing my thing from a writing perspective (as you can tell, there haven’t been too many updates here), but the importance of tracking bets can’t be understated. Also, for people curious about my individual bets since I don’t post official plays over at Oddsbreaker, they can be found here.

I’ve also just changed the order of this betting history around so the most recent bets are now at the top, rather than having to sort through everything each time you visit.

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Yearly Results

Starting Balance: 100U
Bets: 112-149-1
Units: +42.93U
ROI: 9.86% (435.37U wagered, 42.93U returned)

Money Line Bets: 61-81-1 (21-16 on favourites, 40-65-1 on underdogs)
Parlay Bets: 42-36
Prop Bets: 5-19
Round Robins: 4-13

December: +3.75U
November: -0.66U
October: -12.39U
September: +15.45U
August: -2.02U
July: +1.97U
June: +3.25U
May: +14.30U
April: -0.75U
March: -8.65U
February: +16.63U
January: +10.68U

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UFC Fight Night 58

3.1U to win 2U – Pat Cummins @ -155 – Win
2.35U to win 2U – 2-team Parlay @ -118 (Means & Harrison [Titan]) – Win
2U to win 2.8U – Elias Silverio @ +140 – Loss
2U to win 2.36U – 2-team Parlay @ +118 (de Lima & Collier) – Loss
1U Round Robin – Barao Decision, Silverio Sub, Silva R1, Sarafian Sub – Loss
Event Total: -1.0U

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WSOF 16

2.1U to win 2U – Lance Palmer @ -105 – Win
1U to win 1.3U – Jon Fitch @ +130 – Loss
Event Total: +1.0U

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UFC on Fox 13

2.02U to win 2U – 2-team Parlay @ -101 (Overeem, Saunders) – Win
2U to win 0.83U – Anthony Birchak @ -240 – Loss (was originally a Birchak/Cruickshank parlay)
0.5U Round Robin loses 0.28U (Miocic, Jedrzejczyk, Herman, Kimura) – Loss
0.1U Round Robin (Fitch TKO, dos Anjos TKO, Overeem Sub, Mitrione R1) – Loss
Event Total: -0.38U

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TUF 20 Finale

2U to win 2.1U – Charles Oliveira @ +105 – Win
1.05U to win 1U – Jessica Penne @ -105 – Win
1U to win 1.6U – Carla Esparza @ +160 – Win
0.5U to win 5.5U – 6-team Parlay @ +1100 (Herrig/Ellis O2.5, Clark/Rawlings O2.5, Calderwood/Ham O2.5, Torres/Magana O2.5, Daly/Chambers O2.5, Hill/Kagan O2.5) – Loss
0.5U to win 1U – Alex Chambers @ +200 – Loss
Event Total: +3.7U

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UFC 181

2U to win 2.4U – Clay Collard @ +120 – Win
2U to win 2.5U – Urijah Faber by Submission @ +125 – Win
1U to win 1.3U – Johny Hendricks -5.5 @ +130 – Loss
Event Total: +3.9U

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Invicta FC 10

2.22U to win 2U – 2-team parlay @ -111 (Anderson & Lee [Invicta]) – Loss
Event Total: -2.22U

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ONE FC 23

1.25U to win 1U – Koetsu Okazaki @ -125 – Loss
Event Total: -1.25U

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UFC Fight Night 57

2.12U to win 2U – 2-team Parlay @ -106 (Rosholt, Vick) – Loss
2U to win 2.1U – Bobby Green @ +105 – Loss
1U to win 1.8U – Cub Swanson @ +180 – Loss
1U Round Robin – Swanson TKO, Green TKO, Ortiz, Copeland – Loss
Event Total: -6.12U

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UFC 180

2U to win 3.6U – Chris Heatherly @ +180 – Loss
2U to win 3.55U – Jake Ellenberger @ +178 – Loss
1.05U to win 1U – 2-team Parlay @ -105 (Werdum ITD, Benitez) – Win
1U to win 1.01U – 2-team Parlay @ +101 (Werdum ITD, Not Bonnar ITD) – Win
1U to win 1.15U – 2-team Parlay @ +115 (Werdum ITD, Vera) – Loss
1U to win 1.2U – 2-team Parlay @ +120 (Werdum ITD, Quinonez) – Loss
1U Round Robin – Ellenberger R1, Bermudez TKO, Heatherly Sub, Morales – Loss
Event Total: -4.99U

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Bellator 131

1.25U to win 1U – Tito Ortiz @ -125 – Win
Event Total: +1.0U

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WSOF 15

1U to win 1.8U – Melvin Guillard @ +180 – Loss
Event Total: -1.0U

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Legacy FC 37

0.5U to win 1U – Leonard Garcia @ +200 – Loss
0.5U to win 1U – Mike Bronzoulis @ +200 – Win
Event Total: +0.5U

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UFC Fight Night 56

2U to win 3.5U – Trevor Smith @ +175 – Loss
2U to win 3.0U – Charlie Brenneman @ +150 – Loss
2U to win 0.83U – Warlley Alves @ -240 – Win
1U to win 1.6U – Ovince St. Preux @ +160 – Win
1U Round Robin – St. Preux Dec, Rivas ITD, Smith Dec, Oliveira ITD, Zachrich Dec (from FN55) – Loss
Event Total: -2.57U

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UFC Fight Night 55

2U to win 3U – Al Iaquinta @ +150 – Win
1U to win 2.55U – Dan Kelly @ +255 – Win
Event Total: +5.55U

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ONE FC 22/RFA 20

1U to win 1.61U – 2-team Parlay @ +161 (Ando, Smith) – Win
Event Total: +1.61U

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Titan FC 31/Invicta FC 9

1U to win 1.36U – 3-team Parlay @ +136 (Green, Honchak, Esquibel) – Win
Event Total: +1.36U

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Cage Warriors 73

1.35U to win 1U – Alex Enlund @ -135 – Win
1U to win 1.5U – Shaj Haque @ +150 – Win
1U to win 1.5U – Lewis Long @ +150 – Win
Event Total: +4.0U

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Titan FC 31

1.2U to win 1U – Felipe Portela – Loss
Event Total: -1.2U

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UFC 179

10.81U to win 4.7U – Jose Aldo @ -230 – Win
4U to win 11.2U – Chad Mendes @ +280 (2U at +235 & +325 each) – Loss
1U to win 1.25U – Felipe Arantes @ +125 – Loss
1U to win 1.1U – Hans Stringer @ +110 – Loss
1U to win 1U – Fabricio Camoes @ +100 – Loss
1U Round Robin wins 0.36UFerreira Dec, Cabral Sub, Burns Sub, Camoes Dec Win
0.5U to win 2.15U – Macario via TKO @ +430 – Loss
Event Total: -2.44U

Note: The plan on this bet is to hedge with Aldo close to fight time, as the line will be significantly closer when it closes than it sits when I placed these bets (October 8th)

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Bellator 131

1U to win 1U – Newton/Vassell O3.5 @ +100 – Win
1U Round Robin wins 0.31UVassell, Jansen, DerrowMacario (UFC 179) – Win
Event Total: +1.31U

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Legacy FC 36

2U to win 2.7U – Vernon Lewis @ +135 – Loss
Event Total: -2.0U

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Bellator 129

2.2U to win 2.1U – Paul Bradley @ -105 – Win
1U to win 1.35U – James Terry @ +135 – Loss
1U to win 1.2U – Houston Alexander @ +120 – Draw
Event Total: +1.1U

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RFA 19

2U to win 3.1U – 2-team Parlay @ +155 (Cullum & Collier) – Win
Event Total: +3.1U

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Bellator 128

2U to win 4.14U – 4-team Parlay @ +207 (Dantas, Page, Sarnavskiy, McDaniel) – Loss
Event Total: -2.0U

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UFC Fight Night 54

6.50U to win 2U – Elias Theodorou @ -325 – Win
2.26U to win 2U – 3-team Parlay @ -113 (Theodorou, Holohan, Tumenov) – Loss
2U to win 3U – Anthony Njokuani @ +150 – Loss
1U to win 2.75U – Bryan Caraway @ +275 – Loss
1U to win 1.6U – Paul Felder @ +160 – Win
1U to win 1.25U – Olivier Aubin-Mercier in Round 1 @ +125 – Loss
Event Total: -2.66U

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UFC Fight Night 53

3U to win 3U – Krzysztof Jotko @ +100 – Win
2.6U to win 2U – Ilir Latifi -3.5 @ -130 – Loss
2U to win 3.8U – Ernest Chavez @ +190 – Loss
2U to win 2.7U – Gasan Umalatov @ +135 – Loss
Event Total: -3.6U

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MFC 41

1U to win 1.14U – 2-team parlay @ +114 (Edwards & Anstead) – Loss
Event Total: -1.0U

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Bellator 127

1U to win 1.7U – Rob Emerson @ +170 – Loss
Event Total: -1.0U

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UFC 178

3U to win 2.9U – 2-team parlay @ -103 (Masvidal & Lee) – Win
2.79U to win 2U – 2-team parlay @ -139 (Johnson -9.5 & Howard/Ebersole O2.5) – Win
1U to win 1.23U – Yoel Romero @ +123 – Win
0.5U to win 2.58U – Patrick Cote via Decision @ +515 – Loss
0.5U to win 1.73U – Patrick Cote @ +345 – Loss
Event Total: +5.13U

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Legacy FC 35

1.3U to win 1U – Myron Dennis @ -130 – Loss
Event Total: -1.3U

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Titan FC 30

1U to win 1.55U – Jason Brilz @ +155 – Loss
Event Total: -1.0U

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Bellator 126

2.2U to win 2U – Marcin Held @ -110 – Win
2U to win 3U – Brandon Halsey @ +150 – Win
1.09U to win 1U – 3-team parlay @ -109 (Jenkins, Todhunter [Legacy], Santos [Titan]) – Win
Event Total: +6.0U

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UFC Fight Night 52

2U to win 2.9U – Kyung Ho Kang @ +145 – Win
2U to win 2.58U – 2-team parlay @ +129 (Hunt/Nelson O1.5 & Jury/Gomi O1.5) – Loss
2U to win 2.56U – 2-team parlay @ +128 (Tate & Kikuno) – Win
1.5U Round Robin Loses 0.72U (Case, Kanehara, Walsh, Sadollah, Gomi, Nelson R1)
Event Total: +2.74U

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Bellator 125

2.9U to win 2U – Brian Rogers @ -145 – Loss
0.5U to win 16.31U – 7-team parlay @ +3262 (Marshall/Manhoef U1.5, Rogers, Yamauchi, Butler/Ayala U1.5, Juarez, Honeycutt/Wilkinson U2.5, Neves/Martinez U2.5) – Loss
Event Total: -3.4U

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UFC Fight Night 51

2U to win 2.74U – 2-team parlay @ +137 (Santos/Escudero O2.5 & Spencer) – Win
2U to win 2.26U – 2-team parlay @ +113 (Alcantara & Trinaldo) – Win
1U to win 1.05U – Santiago Ponzinibbio @ +105 – Win
1U to win 1.0U – Jessica Andrade @ +100 – Win
0.5U to win 1.8U – Andrei Arlovski @ +360 – Win
Event Total: +8.85U

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Cage Warriors 72

1U to win 1.2U – Cory Tait @ +120 – Loss
Event Total: -1.0U

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RFA 18

1.1U to win 1U – Matt Manzanares @ -110 – Loss
1U to win 1.30U – Abel Cullum @ +130 – Win
Event Total: +0.2U

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Invicta FC 8

0.55U to win 0.50U – 2-team parlay @ -110 (LaRosa & Bennett) – Loss
0.50U to win 1.18U – Tonya Evinger @ +235 – Win
0.50U to win 0.55U – Jessica Eggink @ +110 – Loss
Event Total: +0.13U

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UFC Fight Night 50

2U to win 2.94U – 2-team parlay @ +147 (Oliveira* & Scoggins/Moraga O2.5) – Loss
1U to win 1.6U – Joe Lauzon @ +160 – Win
0.5U to win 3.25U – Alistair Overeem by Submission @ +650 – Loss
Event Total: -0.9U

* – Oliveira’s bout with Nik Lentz was scrapped the day of, but the other leg of the parlay lost anyways.

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UFC 177

2U to win 2.1U – 2-team Parlay @ +105 (Ferguson & Ferreira) – Win
1U Round Robin (by 2’s) – Baszler Sub, Jackson Sub, Potts Sub, Wade Dec – Loss
Event Total: +1.1U

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Legacy FC 34

2.3U to win 2.5U – Gilbert Smith @ +109 – Win
1U to win 3.5U – Brian Hall @ +350 – Win
Event Total:  +6.0U

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ONE FC 19

1U to win 1.82U – 3-team Parlay @ +182 (Aoki, Askren, Narantungalag) – Win
Event Total: +1.82U

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UFC Fight Night 48/49

3U to 3.03U – 2-team parlay @ +101 (Skelly/Niinimaki O2.5 & Leites/Carmont O2.5) – Loss
2.9U to win 2U – Alex Garcia @ -145 – Loss
1.5U to win 1U – Francis Carmont @ -150 – Loss
1.35U to win 1U – Brendan O’Reilly @ -135 – Loss
1.2U to win 1U – Tony Martin @ -120 – Loss
1U to win 1.35U – Elizabeth Phillips @ +135 – Loss
1U to wn 1.3U – Walmir Lazaro @ +130 – Loss
1U to win 1.2U – Roland Delorme @ +120 – Loss
1U Round Robin profits 4.99U (by 2’s) – Le R1, Holloway R3, Garcia Sub, Martin Dec, Saunders SubWin
Event Total: -7.96U

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Titan FC 29

1U to win 1.02U – 2-team parlay @ +102 (Ricci & Holobaugh) – Win
Event Total: +1.02U

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Cage Warriors 71

2U to win 2.1U – Jack Mason @ +105 – Loss
Event Total: -2.0U

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UFC Fight Night 47

1U to win 1.5U – Robbie Peralta @ +150 – Loss
1U to win 1.4U – Gray Maynard @ +140 – Loss
Event Total: -2.0U

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UFC on Fox 12

2U to win 2.60U – 2-team Parlay @ +130 (Cummins & Jedrzejczyk) – Win
2U to win 2.34U – 2-team Parlay @ +117 (Lawler ITD & Masvidal) – Loss
1U to win 1.45U – Andreas Stahl @ +145 – Loss
1U to win 1.40U – Mike de la Torre @ +140 – Loss
Event Total: -1.4U

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Bellator 122

1U Round Robin (McDonough, Baroni, Anundson, Zwicker) – Loss
Event Total: -1.0U

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UFC Fight Night 46

4.6U to win 2U – Ilir Latifi @ -230 – Win
2U to win 3.64U – 2-team Parlay @ +182 (Pendred & Seery) – Win
2U to win 2.5U – 2-team Parlay @ +125 (Sampo & Latifi) – Loss
1U to win 1.49U – Cody Donovan ITD @ +149 – Loss
0.5U to win 5U – Diego Brandao R1 @ +1000 – Loss
Event Total: +2.14U

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Legacy FC 33

1.12U to win 1U – 2-team Parlay @ -112 (Jackson & Usman) – Win
0.5U to win 1.4U – Johnny Ray Rodriguez @ +280 – Loss
Event Total: +0.5U

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UFC Fight Night 45

2.14U to win 2U – 2-team Parlay @ -107 (Gadelha -3.5 & Smith/Duke O2.5) – Loss
1U Round Robin (Cerrone Sub, Salas Dec, Lineker TKO, Sanders Dec) – Loss
Event Total: -3.14U

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TUF 19 Finale

1.55U to win 1U – Frankie Edgar -5.5 @ -155 – Win
Event Total: +1.0U

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UFC 175/TUF 19/WSOF 11

2.28U to win 2U – 3-team Parlay @ -114 (Gaethje, Hall, Martins)
2U to win 2.6U – 3-team Parlay @ +130 (Gaethje, Not Tuerxun ITD, Scoggins/Ortiz O2.5)
Event Total: +4.6U

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UFC 175

2.5U to win 2U – Rousey/Davis Starts Round 2 @ -125 – Loss
1U to win 1.77U – Kevin Casey @ +177 – Win
Event Total: 0.73U

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UFC Fight Night 44

2.25U to win 2U – 2-team Parlay @ -112 (Borg & Diego Ferreira) – Win
Event Total: +2.0U

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UFC Fight Night 43

7U to win 5U – Jared Rosholt @ -140 – Win
2U to win 3.5U – Hatsu Hioki @ +175 – Loss
Event Total: +3.0U

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Legacy FC 32/WSOF 10

3U to win 2U – Luiz Firmino @ -150 – Win
2.4U to win 2U – Matt Schnell @ -120 – Loss
Event Total: -0.4U

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UFC 174

2.1U to win 2U – 2-team parlay @ -105 (Johnson -5.5 & Bader/Cavalcante ITD) – Loss
0.25U to win 1.44U – Kajan Johnson by Submission @ +575 – Loss
Event Total: -2.35U

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Legacy FC 31

1U to win 1.45U – Diego da Silva @ +145 – Win
Event Total: +1.45U

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UFC Fight Night 42

2U to win 2.6U – Benson Henderson by Decision @ +130 – Loss
0.5U to win 2.05U – Bryan Caraway by Submission @ +420 – Win
0.5U to win 2.03U – Jason High by Decision @ +413 – Loss
Event Total: -0.45U

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UFC Fight Night 41/TUF Brazil 3 Finale

2U to win 2.4U – 2-team parlay @ +120 (Souza -3.5 & Carlos Jr.) – Win
2U to win 2.06U – 2-team parlay @ +103 (Souza & Dober/Hein O2.5) – Win
1U to win 3.1U – Vaughan Lee @ +310 – Loss
1U to win 2.3U – Robbie Peralta @ +230 – Win
Event Total: +5.76U

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UFC 173

2U to win 4.2U – Vinc Pichel @ +210 – Win
2U to win 2.25U – 3-team parlay @ +112 (Cormier -3.5, Holdsworth, Iaquinta) – Loss
2U to win 1.78U – 3-team parlay @ -111 (Cormier -3.5, Holdsworth, Barao) – Loss
1U Round Robin wins 8.94U – Dillashaw ITD, Rivera TKO, Varner Dec, Pichel Dec – Win
Event Total: +9.14U

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KSW 27

1.3U to win 1U – Mariusz Pudzianowski @ -130 – Win
1U to win 1.08U – 2-team parlay @ +108 (Abu Azaitar, Aslambek Saidov) – Loss
Event Total: 0U

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Titan FC 28

2U to win 2.55 – DJ Linderman @ +127 (1U each at +100 and +155) – Loss
0.5U to win 0.95U – Gilbert Smith @ +190 – Loss
Event Total: -2.5U

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UFC Fight Night 40

3U to win 3.9U – Chris Cariaso @ +130 – Win
2U to win 2.64U – 2-team parlay @ +132 (Larkin & Cariaso/Smolka O2.5) – Loss
Event Total: +1.9U

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UFC 172

2.1U to win 2U – Jessamyn Duke @ -105 – Loss
2U to win 2.12 – 2-team parlay (Jones ITD, Rockhold -3.5) – Loss
0.5U to win 3.46U – 7-team parlay (Jones, Davis, Rockhold, Fili, Benavidez, Gomi, Castillo) – Loss
Event Total: -4.6U

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UFC on Fox 11

2.5U to win 2U – Estevan Payan @ -125 – Loss
2U to win 3.55U – Ray Borg @ +178 (1U each at +165 and +190) – Loss
1U to win 2.45U – Rafael dos Anjos @ +245 – Loss
1U to win 1.85U – Liz Carmouche @ +185 – Loss
1U to win 1.35U – Mirsad Bektic @ +135 – Win
Event Total: -5.15U

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CWFC Fight Night 11/Bellator 117

2U to win 2.16U – 2-team parlay @ +108 (Lima & Pekov) – Win
1.25U to win 1U – Jack Hermansson @ -125 – Win
Event Total: +3.16U

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TUF Nations Finale

2.9U to win 2U – Elias Theodorou @ -145 – Win
2U to win 2.08U – 2-team Parlay @ +104 (Poirier ITD & Kaufman/Smith O2.5) – Win
1U to win 1.2U – Gagnon/Gorman U1.5 – Loss
0.1U to win 1.4U – Roop/Kimura wins FOTN @ +1400 – Loss
0.1U to win 4.71U – 3-team parlay @ +4708 (Laprise Dec, Jimmo Dec, Walsh Dec) – Loss
Event Total: +2.88U

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UFC Fight Night 39/Bellator 116/RFA 14

2U to win 2.51U – 2-team Parlay @ +126 (Rosholt/Omielanczuk O1.5 & LaFlare/Howard GTD) – Win
1.55U to win 1U – Matt Manzanares @ -155 – Win
1U to win 1.15U – John Howard Points Handicap +3.5 @ +115 – Win
0.5U to win 1.38U – Ramsey Nijem by Decision @ +275 – Loss
0.5U to win 1.33U – Lavar Johnson R1 @ +265 – Loss
0.5U to win 0.8U – Joey Beltran @ +160 – Win
Event Total: +4.46U

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Bellator 115

1U to win 1.1U – Oezdimir/Anundson U1.5 – Loss
0.5U to win 1.48U – Cheick Kongo @ +295 – Loss
Event Total: -1.5U

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Bellator 114/WSOF 9/Cage Warriors Fight Night 10

2U to win 3.65U – 2-team Parlay @ +183 (Green, Moraes/Rettinghouse O2.5) – Win
1U to win 1.4U – Paul Marin @ +140 – Loss
0.5U to win 1.15U – Tyler Stinson @ +230 – Loss
Event Total: +2.15U

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UFC Fight Night 38/Bellator 113

3U to win 2U – Mauricio Rua @ -150 – Loss
2.5U to win 4.23U – 2-team Parlay (Shogun/Henderson O2.5, Anderson) – Loss
2U to win 3.8U – Patricky Freire @ +190 – Win
2U to win 3.5U – Attilla Vegh @ +175 – Loss
2U to win 3.6U – C.B. Dollaway @ +180 – Win
1U to win 2.75U – Michel Prazeres @ +275 – Win
Event Total: +2.65U

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UFC 171/Bellator 112

2.8U to win 2U – Daniel Straus @ -140 – Loss
2.5U to win 2.98U – 2-team Parlay (Jury/Sanchez O2.5, Lombard) – Win
2U to win 3.53U – 3-team Parlay (Scoggins, Straus, Koreshkov) – Loss
2U to win 9U – Robbie Lawler @ +450 – Loss
1U to win 5.97U – 7-team Parlay (Jury/Sanchez O2.5, Gastelum/Story O2.5, Wilder ITD, Not Hendricks R1, Not Woodley ITD, Not Shields ITD, Scoggins -3.5) – Loss
1U to win 1.4U – Bubba McDaniel @ +140 – Loss
Event Total: -5.82U

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Bellator 111/RFA 13/UFC Fight Night 37/Boxing

2.7U to win 2U – Ilir Latifi @ -135 – Win
2.5U to win 3.38U – 2-team parlay @ +169 (Scott, Dantas ITD) – Loss
2.5U to win 4.53U – 4-team parlay @ +181 (Nelson, Gustafsson ITD, Linares, Alvarez) – Win
2U to win 3.48U – 5-team parlay @ +174 (Escudero, Gustafsson, Linares, Santa Cruz, Alvarez) – Loss
2U to win 2.56U – 2-team parlay @ +128 (Njokuani, Harris/Gaudinot O2.5) – Loss
2U to win 3.3U – Danny Mitchell @ +165 – Loss
2U to win 3U – Phil Harris @ +150 – Loss
0.5U to win 1.6U – Mark Holata @ +320 – Loss
Event Total: -4.47U

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Bellator 110/Titan 27/TUF China/Cage Warriors 65

4U to win 6.4U – Jack Mason @ +160 – Loss
3.3U to win 3U – 3-team parlay @ -110 (Gutierrez, Holobaugh, Rampage) – Win
3U to win 3.24U – 2-team parlay @ +108 (Richman, Maguire) – Loss
2U to win 3.2U – Michael Kuiper @ +160 – Loss
2U to win 2.90U – 2-team parlay @ +145 (Eddiva/Tuerxun O1.5, Maguire) – Loss
2U to win 1.11U – Yui Chul Nam @ -180 (originally parlayed with Zak Cummings) – Win
1U to win 4.65U – 7-team parlay @ +465 (Yamauchi, Richman, Nunes, Rampage, Gutierrez, Croom, Holobaugh) – Loss
0.5U to win 1.73U – Mark Eddiva @ +345 – Win
Event Total: -6.16U

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UFC 170

3U to win 3.92U – 2-team parlay @ +131 (Sterling, Davis) – Win
2U to win 2.55U – 2-team parlay @ +128 (Nad Narimani [Cage Warriors 64], Ronda Rousey ITD) – Win
2U to win 3.2U – TJ Waldburger @ +160 – Loss
2U to win 2.3U – Robert Whittaker @ +115 – Loss
1U to win 2.4U – Demian Maia @ +240 – Loss
0.5U to win 4.2U – 5-team parlay @ +840 (Rousey ITD, Waldburger/Pyle ITD, Davis, Assuncao, Makovsky) – Win
Event Total: +5.67U

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Legacy FC 28

2U to win 2.53U – 3-team parlay @ +127 (Alexandre, Page, Thompson) – Win
2U to win 2.65U – Hunter Tucker @ +140 and +125 – Loss
Event Total: +0.53U

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UFC Fight Night 36

2.6U to win 2U – Viscardi Andrade @ -130 – Loss
2U to win 3.53U – 2-team parlay @ +177 (Silva R1, Machida/Mousasi O3.5) – Win
2.1U to win 2U – Zubair Tuhugov @ -105 – Win
1U to win 2.25U – Gegard Mousasi @ +225 – Loss
1U to win 1.3U – Rodrigo Damm +130 – Win
1U Round Robin – (Mousasi Dec, Andrade TKO, Ronson R3, Reis Dec) – Loss
Event Total: +2.23U

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UFC 169

4.75U to win 3U – Chris Cariaso @ -158 (1U each at -165, -160 and -150) – Win
2U to win 3.3U – Nick Catone @ +165 (1U each at +175 and +155) – Win
2U to win 3.25U – Neil Magny @ +163 (1U each at +155 and +170) – Win
2U to win 3.05U – 2-team parlay @ +153 (Hester and Iaquinta/Lee O2.5) – Win
1U Round Robin (by 3’s) – (Lineker R1, Trujillo Dec, Patrick Dec, Cariaso Dec, Martin Dec) – Loss
0.4U to win 2.4U – Urijah Faber by Submission – Loss
Event Total: +11.20U

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UFC on Fox 10

3.3U to win 3U – Jeremy Stephens @ -110 – Win
2.61U to win 2.5U – 2-team parlay @ -105 (Wineland and Not Miocic in R1) – Win
2.5U to win 2.59U – 2-team parlay @ +104 (Wineland and Kevin Casey from RFA 12) – Win
2U to win 4U – Alex Caceres @ +200 – Win
1U to win 2.55U – Josh Thomson @ +255 – Loss
Event Total: +11.09U

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RFA 12

1U to win 12U – Billy Daniels @ +1200 – Loss
Event Total: -1.0U

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WSOF 8

2U to win 2.1U – Jorge Patino @ +105 – Loss
2U to win 2U – Tyson Nam @ +100 – Loss
Event Total: -4.0U

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MFC 39

2U to win 3.6U – Darrill Schoonover @ +180 – Loss
2U to win 4.3U – Gilbert Smith @ +215 – Win
Event Total: +2.3U

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UFC Fight Night 35

2.56U to win 2.5U – 2-team Parlay @ -102 (Rockhold, Larkin/Tavares O2.5) – Win
2.5U to win 3.29U – 2-team Parlay @ +131 (Easton/Dillashaw O2.5, Ortiz/Moraga O2.5) – Win
2.5U to win 3.2U – 2-team Parlay @ +128 (Romero, Brenneman) – Loss
2U to win 3.1U – Isaac Vallie-Flagg @ +155 – Loss
2U to win 2.7U – Brian Houston @ +135 – Loss
1U to win 14.7U – 5-team Parlay (Easton/Dillashaw, Ortiz/Moraga, Flagg/Silverio all GTD, Ozkilic Dec, Brenneman Dec) – Loss
1.5U to win 25.6U – Prop RR (Rockhold UD, Sicilia R1, Edwards R1, Vallie-Flagg Dec) – Loss
Event Total: -3.21U

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UFC Fight Night 34

3.05U to win 3U – 2-team Parlay @ -102 (Kimura, Holloway) – Win
2U to win 3U – Royston Wee @ +150 – Win
0.5U to win 4.5U – Kang/Shimizu FOTN @ +900 – Loss
Event Total: +5.5U

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The Top 25 UFC Fights of the Pre-TUF Era: Part 3 – 5-1

Alright, we’re finally there. It’s top 5 time. Before we get to the best five fights – by my humble determination – let’s go back and recap the previous 20 (well, 21 if you’ve been paying attention). If you want a little bit more in-depth on each fight, check out Part 1 which covers numbers 25-16 as well as what this list is all about, and Part 2 which counts down 15-6. I’ll also be doing a follow up to this list which will look at the notable exceptions from these 26 fights. If there’s a fight you’d like to see addressed, make sure you make yourself heard on twitter head over to FightLockdown.com and let me know. Don’t worry, I won’t be offended.

Let’s not get ahead of ourselves though. Fights 26-6 were all pretty good in their own right, and deserve some repartee of their own. Consider it an appetizer before the main course. Read More…

tazmma Sloppy Slugfest – Koichiro Matsumoto vs. Tatsunao Nagakura

When it comes to fights, a seasoned fan can often appreciate the subtle techniques in each aspect of MMA, and find interest in a bout which a more casual onlooker may see as downright boring. However, every once in a while there comes a fight that everyone can agree is thoroughly enjoyable, and often those fights would fall under the category of a “Sloppy Slugfest”. While some in the MMA community dismiss these fights due to their lack of technique, they are merely soulless pessimists and need to learn how to enjoy some brainless fun every once in a while.

The epitome of the Sloppy Slugfest is the legendary Don Frye/Yoshihiro Takayama throwdown that made men, women and children weep. The men wept out of joy, while the women and children wept due to what the Hawtness’ mug looked like post fight. In honour of the untouchable nature of this slugfest, all others are judged on the patented 5-Fryama scale. 5 Fryama’s is Frye/Takayama itself, while anything less denotes a fight which ultimately falls short of the classic – which, inevitably, is every other slugfest in history.

Let us commence. Read More…

Back In Action

As you may have noticed, I’ve been out of commission over the past several weeks, but it was for a good reason: I recently got married. Anyways, I’m now going to have the time to devote to MMA once again, and to start it off I’ll by attending Bellator 47 tonight at Casino Rama.

It’s good to be back, and you guys can look forward to plenty more MMA goodness from me.

UFC 131 Quick Picks

The Facebook prelims are about to start, and I’m just going to run down my picks for tonight’s card.

Darren Elkins vs. Michihiro Omigawa

Omigawa has the takedown defense to negate Elkins best skill, his wrestling, and even if he does get taken down, he’s been able to submit the likes of Cole Escovedo on the ground which is no easy task. Elkins took about three seconds flat to get tapped out by Charles Oliveira, and I expect he won’t find much more success against Omigawa. Michihiro Omigawa via 1st Round Submission.

Aaron Rosa vs. Joey Beltran

Beltran is scrappy, but when you’re nearly universally described as scrappy it means you probably don’t have the skills necessary to survive at this highest level of the sport. Rosa possesses enough wrestling and submission acumen to give Beltran some significant troubles.  Aaron Rosa via 2nd Round Submission.

Dustin Poirier vs. Jason Young

Jason Young’s achilles heel has always been his submission defense, and while Dustin Poirier is no Demian Maia on the ground, he does have a very high-pressure style, as well as a serviceable sub game. I wouldn’t be surprised to see him use his inside game like he did against Grispi, wearing Young down and then finishing late, I’m just not quite sure how. Dustin Poirier via 3rd Round TKO.

Nick Ring vs. James Head

It’s hard to have confidence in Nick Ring after his uninspired “win” over Riki Fukuda, not to mention his knees which have seen more surgeries than Joan Rivers. Still, James Head is nearly unknown to me, and despite a win over Gerald Harris, I think Ring’s striking and way with the judges should be enough for him to take this bout. Nick Ring via Unanimous Decision.

Krzysztof Soszynski vs. Mike Massenzio

Massenzio is doing the UFC a huge favour by stepping in on short notice for this fight AND moving up a weight class to take on Soszynski. Considering Massenzio was submitted from Brian Stann’s guard, I imagine once Massenzio wears down a bit, Soszynski gets top position and we’ll likely see him lock on that Kimura he loves so much. Krzysztof Soszynski via 3rd Round Submission.

Yves Edwards vs. Sam Stout

I expect to see the Yves Edwards renaissance tour come to an end in this one. He plays perfectly into Stout’s wheelhouse. Yves is a guy who lets his opponents dictate the pace of fights, and when Stout is allowed to do that, he finds excellent success with his striking. Yves from five years ago would make this a very competitive fight, but present day Yves will merely make it a fun, one-sided affair. Sam Stout via Unanimous Decision.

Chris Weidman vs. Jesse Bongfeldt

Bongfeldt’s kryptonite has been strong wrestlers who can avoid his submissions, and Chris Weidman is that in spades. Weidman’s exploits ADCC 2009 put him on the map to many MMA fans, and he impressed against Alessio Sakara in his UFC debut despite it being only his fifth pro MMA fight. He should continue to find success against Bongfeldt in this one, and will be someone to watch in the Middleweight division for some time. Chris Weidman via Unanimous Decision.

Donald Cerrone vs. Vagner Rocha

Another fight that isn’t what it was originally supposed to be, as Vagner Rocha has entered on short notice to take on Cerrone. Rocha’s submissions are his ace in the hole, which could give Cerrone trouble if he gets lazy as he has a tendency to do in fights. Still, Cerrone’s submission game is dangerous and his striking is likely his avenue to victory in this fight. Donald Cerrone via Unanimous Decision.

Demian Maia vs. Mark Munoz

Will Maia be able to replicate the success he’s found against wrestlers in the past, or will Munoz prove to be a different breed able to negate the Brazilian’s ground game? I think Munoz will have what it takes to avoid Maia’s potent ground arsenal, at the very least. If this stays on the feet, Demian has improved considerably, but Munoz is still more dangerous on the feet, and I see him holding the advantage as long as this stays standing. Mark Munoz via Unanimous Decision.

Jon Olav Einemo vs. Dave Herman

There are very few fights that I have no idea how they’ll play out (whether I’m right or wrong in my prediction), but this is one of them. Einemo is coming off a supremely long layoff, so who knows how he’ll react being back in the cage.  Dave Herman is one of MMA’s biggest headcases, and despite being a very talented Heavyweight days where he just doesn’t seem like he wants to be fighting. I’m leaning towards Herman because I think being in the UFC will motivate him enough to be into this fight, and Einemo’s absence from MMA is simply too much to overlook. Dave Herman via 2nd Round TKO.

Kenny Florian vs. Diego Nunes

As a huge fan of the sub-155 divisions, this fight is very intriguing to me. Florian’s debut in the division marks the first elite Lightweight to drop down to 145 to see how the divisions stack up. We’ve seen lesser 155ers find good success at Featherweight (Gamburyan, Brown, Omigawa, etc), so it will be an interesting litmus test of how the newer breed of 145ers have developed when Florian takes on the top 10 Nunes. While stylistically Florian presents many problems for Nunes kick-happy style, exactly how the fight plays out will determine much about the Featherweight division moving forward. Kenny Florian via Unanimous Decision.

Shane Carwin vs. Junior dos Santos

While this wasn’t the intended main event, and it doesn’t have the drawing power of Lesnar/dos Santos, it is just as interesting to me. Carwin actually presents more problems for dos Santos as he can use his wrestling or connect with one of his bombs standing. Still, I think Junior is the better boxer, and if he does get taken down he should be able to stand up, as he did against Gonzaga. In the end, I expect that even the new, slimmer Carwin will fade late, and dos Santos will be able to put him away, as Shane hasn’t shown the same durability as someone like Roy Nelson. The fight that people were clamouring for last year prior to Velasquez’s title shot, which I was saying would be better later in their careers, and it will be. Junior dos Santos via 3rd Round TKO.

Canadian MMA Recap – May 27-June 4

The past few weekends have seen a number of solid MMA cards taking place all across Canada. From the Maritimes all the way out to Vancouver Island, just about everywhere across the country was privy to some form of fistic action. Increasingly we’re seeing MMA in Canada becoming a weekly occurrence, as opposed to days past where one card a month was cause for celebration. In addition to the increase in volume of cards, the quality has also been on the rise, as shown by the recent cards I’m about to recap for you, and the cards that are upcoming in the next few weekends.

Remember also that you can check up on recent Canadian MMA results by using the drop down menus at the top of the site.

Read More…