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2015 Betting History and Results

Just as I did in 2014, I will track all of my MMA bets for 2015 below. I have reset my bankroll to 100U, and will be using a fixed unit price throughout the year. Any questions? Feel free to contact me on twitter, @bradtaschuk.

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Yearly Results

Starting Balance: 100U
Bets: 127-180-1
Units: +31.99U
ROI: +6.79% (+31.99 profit divided by 471.25U wagered)

Moneyline Bets: 69-82-1 (21-24 favourites, 48-58-1 underdogs)
Parlay Bets: 18-36
Prop Bets: 42-55
Round Robins: 2-9

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UFC Fight Night 80

1U to win 2.4U – KING Kevin Casey @ +240
Event Total:

Bellator 147

1U to win 1.25U – Brian Rogers @ +125 – Win
Event Total: +1.25U

UFC Fight Night 79

6.3U to win 12.35U – Tae Hyun Bang @ +196 – Win
2.7U to win 2U – Jake Collier @ -135 – Loss
2U to win 2.2U – Henderson -5.5 @ +110 – Loss
2U to win 2.12U – 2-team Parlay @ +106 (Serrano & Sicilia/Choi ITD) – Win
0.5U to win 5.28U – Bang Submission @ +1055 – Loss
Event Total: +9.27U

UFC Fight Night 78

1U to win 1.79U – Perez/Jorgensen U2.5 @ +179 – Win
1U to win 1.75U – Formiga +3.5 @ +175 – Loss
0.5U to win 1.8U – Fabinski TKO @ +360 – Loss
Event Total: +0.29U

WSOF 25

1.05U to win 1U – Ricci/Condon O1.5 @ -105 – Loss
Event Total: -1.05U

Bellator 146

1.15U to win 1U – Hisaki Kato @ -115 – Loss
1U to win 2.2U – Jordan Parsons @ +220 – Loss
Event Total: -2.15U

UFC 193

5U to win 6.9U – Jared Rosholt @ +138 – Win
2.5U to win 2U – Ben Nguyen @ -125 – Win
Event Total: +8.9U

UFC Fight Night 77

3U to win 3.64U – 2-team Parlay @ +121 (Henderson/Belfort U1.5 & Case) – Win
2U to win 3.68U – Johnny Case ITD @ +184 – Loss
1.5U to win 1U – Clay Guida @ -150 – Loss
1U to win 3.8U – Patrick Cummins @ +380 – Loss
1U to win 1.85U – Gilbert Burns @ +185 – Loss
0.5U to win 1.73U – Anthony Birchak @ +345 – Loss
Event Total: -2.36U

RFA 32

1.11U to win 1U – 2-team Parlay @ -111 (Higo & Smith) – Win
1U to win 1.85U – Dakota Cochrane @ +185 – Win
Event Total: +2.85U

Bellator 145

1.2U to win 1U – Chandler/Rickels U1.5 -120 – Loss
1.11U to win 1U – 2-team Parlay @ -111 (Brooks & Lawrence) – Loss
1U to win 1.45U – Lashley/Thompson O2.5 +145 – Loss
1U to win 1.2U – Daniel Straus @ +120 – Win
Event Total: -2.11U

CES 31

1U to win 3.2U – Chip Moraza-Pollard @ +320 – Loss
0.5U to win 0.88U – Daniel Vizcaya @ +175 – Win
0.5U to win 0.83U – Mike Mucitelli @ +165 – Loss
Event Total: -0.62U

UFC Fight Night 76

2.4U to win 2U – Louis Smolka @ -120 – Win
1.4U to win 1U – Darren Elkins @ -140 – Win
Event Total: +3.0U

RFA 31

1.65U to win 1U – Big Gilly Style Smith @ -165 – Win
1U to win 1.5U – Gabriel Checco @ +150 – Win
Event Total: +2.5U

UFC 192

2.5U to win 2U – Rashad Evans @ -125 – Loss
2U to win 3.0U – Chris Cariaso @ +150 – Loss
2U to win 2.6U – Adriano Martins @ +130 – Win
1.55U to win 1U – Northcutt/Trevino O2.5 @ -155 – Loss
1.22U to win 1U – Magomedov/Jordan O1.5 – Win
1U to win 2U – Angela Hill @ +200 – Loss
1U to win 1.43U – Lewis/Pesta O1.5 @ +143 – Win
1U to win 1.12U – 2-team Parlay @ +112 (Tumenov & Not Lewis ITD) – Loss
Event Total: -3.02U

UFC Fight Night 75

2U to win 2.99U – 3-team Parlay @ +150 (Horiguchi, Brandao, Hein) – Win
1.5U to win 1U – Horiguchi -3.5 @ -150 – Win
1U to win 2.25U – Brandao R1 @ +225 – Win
1U to win 1.05U – Brandao/Kikuno U1.5 @ +105 – Win
0.5U to win 3.73U – Hall Decision @ +745 – Loss
0.5U to win 1.4U – Anzai TKO @ +280 – Win
0.5U to win 1.1U – Johnson Decision @ +220 – Win
Event Total: +9.29U

Bellator 143

1U to win 1.62U – Corrales/Sanchez U2.5 @ +162 – Loss
1U to win 1.6U – Henry Corrales @ +160 – Loss
1U to win 1.45U – Joey Beltran @ +145 – Loss
Event Total: -3.0U

Titan FC 35

1.1U to win 1U – Pat Healy @ -110 – Loss
Event Total: -1.1U

Bellator 142

2U to win 2.04U – Ortiz/McGeary O1.5 @ +102 – Loss
1U to win 8.0U – Tito Ortiz @ +800 – Loss
1U to win 1.6U – Davis/Carmont U1.5 @ +160 – Win
1U to win 0.73U – 2-team Parlay @ -137 (Cavalari, Daley, Davis [vs. Lawal]) – Win
Event Total: -0.67U

WSOF 23

1.37U to win 1U – Gaethje/Palomino O1.5 @ -137 – Win
Event Total: +1.0U

RFA 30

1.7U to win 1U – Adam Townsend @ -170 – Win
Event Total: +1.0U

Invicta 14

1.95U to win 1U – Megan Anderson @ -195 – Loss
1U to win 1.75U – Pannie Kianzad @ +175 – Loss
Event Total: -2.95U

UFC 191

5.5U to win 2U – VanZant -8.5 @ -275 – Win
3.6U to win 2U – Demetrious Johnson -5.5 @ -180 – Win
2.18U to win 2U – Felder ITD @ -109 – Loss
2U to win 2.6U – Corey Anderson @ +130 – Win
1.65U to win 1U – Jessica Andrade @ -165 – Loss
1.44U to win 1U – 2-team Parlay @ -144 (VanZant -8.5 & Felder) – Loss
1U to win 2.05U – Joe Riggs @ +205 – Win
Event Total: +3.38U

Legacy 44

1.5U to win 1U – Valdir Araujo @ -150 – Loss
0.5U to win 1.2U – Justin Reiswerg @ +240 – Loss
Event Total: -2.0U

Bellator 141

2U to win 0.93U – Coenen/Blencowe O1.5 @ -215 – Win
1.35U to win 1U – Patricky Freire @ -135 – Win
0.5U to win 1.53U – Brandon Girtz @ +305 – Win
Event Total: +3.46U

UFC Fight Night 74

2U to win 3.78U – Yves Jabouin @ +173, +205 – Loss
2U to win 3.68U – Valerie LeTourneau @ +158, +210 – Win
2U to win 3.6U – Charles Oliveira @ +180 – Loss
2U to win 2.9U – Chris Kelades @ +145 – Win
1U to win 3.4U – Francisco Trinaldo @ +340 – Win
1U to win 2.2U – Silva in R1 @ +220 – Loss
1U to win 1.7U – Krylov/De Lima O1.5 @ +170 – Loss
1U to win 1.55U – Nikita Krylov @ +155 – Win
0.5U to win 3.5U – Krylov in R2 @ +700 – Loss
0.5U to win 3.38U – Sims TKO @ +675 – Loss
0.5U to win 2.88U – Trinaldo Decision @ +575 – Loss
Event Total: +4.03U

RFA 29

1U to win 1.65U – Terrion Ware @ +165 – Loss
Event Total: -1.0U

CES MMA 30

0.5U to win 1.75U – Chip Moraza-Pollard @ +350 – Win
0.5U to win 1.38U – Jesse McElligott @ +275 – Loss
Event Total: +1.25U

UFC Fight Night 73

3U to win 3.45U – Frankie Saenz @ +115 – Win
2.4U to win 2U – Jonathan Wilson @ -120 – Win
1U to win 2.3U – Amanda Nunes @ +230 – Win
1U to win 1.12U – Brunson Dec @ +112 – Loss
0.5U to win 5.03U – Rosholt Sub @ +1005 – Loss
0.5U to win 2U – Nunes TKO @ +400 – Loss
Event Total: +5.75U

UFC 190

7.4U to win 4U – Hugo Viana @ -170, -200 – Loss
1.55U to win 7.44U – Guido Cannetti @ +480 – Win
1U to win 3U – Rousey 0:01-1:00 – Win
1U to win 1.5U – Big Nog @ +150 – Loss
1U to win 1.45U – Vitor Miranda @ +145 – Win
0.5U to win 2U – Cavalcante R1 @ +400 – Loss
0.5U to win 1.3U – Miranda TKO @ +260 – Win
Event Total: +4.29U

UFC on Fox 16

3U to win 2U – Daron Cruickshank @ -150 – Loss
1.15U to win 1U – Cummings/Steele O2.5 @ -115 – Loss
1U to win 1.55U – Dillashaw/Barao O4.5 @ +155 – Loss
1U to win 1.47U – Lawlor/Villante U2.5 @ +147 – Win
1U to win 1.25U – Bryan Caraway @ +125 – Win
1U to win 1.25U – Danny Castillo @ +125 – Loss
1U to win 1.05U – Robertson/Saunders O2.5 @ +105 – Win
1U to win 1U – Kenny Robertson @ +100 – Loss
0.5U to win 3.2U – Gomi ITD @ +640 – Loss
Event Total: -3.88U

Titan FC 34

1U to win 1.01U – 2-team Parlay @ +101 (Latifi & Healy) – Win
1U to win 1U – Johns/Gutierrez O3.5 @ +100 – Win
Event Total: +2.01U

UFC Fight Night 72

3.45U to win 3U – Michael Bisping @ -115 – Win
2U to win 3.1U – Vaughan Lee @ +155 – Loss
1.85U to win 1U – LeBout/Packalen O1.5 @ -185 – Win
1.8U to win 1U – Not Calderwood ITD @ -180 – Win
1.45U to win 1U – Omielanczuk/de la Rocha O1.5 @ -145 – Loss
1U to win 2.1U – Evan Dunham @ +210 – Win
Event Total: +3.65U

Legacy FC 43

1U to win 1.45U – Derrick Krantz @ +145 – Win
Event Total: +1.45U

Bellator 140

2.7U to win 2U – Douglas Lima @ -135 – Loss
2U to win 2.84U – 2-team Parlay @ +142 (Lima & Honeycutt) – Loss
1U to win 1.25U – Ward/Carroll O1.5 @ +125 – Loss
Event Total: -5.7U

UFC Fight Night 71

4.2U to win 4.5U – Kevin Casey @ -110 and +125 – Win
2.2U to win 2U – Masanori Kanehara @ -110 – Loss
1.09U to win 1U – 2-team Parlay @ -109 (Duffee & Strickland) – Loss
1.05U to win 1U – Josh Thomson +3.5 @ -105 – Loss
1U to win 1.05U – Duffee R1 @ +105 – Loss
0.5U to win 1.63U – Craig Dec @ +325 – Loss
0.5U to win 1.62U – Sarah Moras @ +320 – Loss
0.5U to win 1U – Marion Reneau @ +200 – Loss
Event Total: -2.34U

TUF 21 Finale

2.3U to win 2U – Darrell Montague @ -115 – Loss
2U to win 3.95U – Jake Ellenberger @ +198 – Loss
1U to win 1.25U – Josh Samman @ +125 – Win
0.5U to win 5.5U – Samman R3 @ +1100 – Loss
0.5U to win 1.25U – Blanco Dec @ +250 – Loss
0.5U to win 1.23U – Smith Dec @ +247 – Win
Event Total: -2.82U

UFC 189

4U to win 5.8U – Chad Mendes @ +145 – Loss
3.25U to win 2.5U – Brandon Thatch @ -130 – Loss
2.5U to win 2.85U – 3-team Parlay @ +114 (Almeida, Garcia, Garbrandt) – Win
2.4U to win 2U – Cathal Pendred @ -120 – Loss
1.15U to win 1U – Louis Smolka @ -115 – Win
1U to win 1.39U – Pendred Dec @ +139 – Loss
0.5U to win 2.1U – Means ITD @ +405 – Loss
0.5U to win 1.63U – Stephens TKO @ +325 – Win
Event Total: -5.67U

Invicta 13

1U to win 1.55U – Tonya Evinger @ +155 – Win
Event Total: +1.55U

RFA 27

1.1U to win 1U – Joe Murphy @ -110 – Loss
0.5U to win 1.05U – JR Lugo @ +210 – Loss
Event Total: -1.6U

UFC Fight Night 70

2.6U to win 2U – Larkin/Ponzinibbio ITD @ -130 – Win
2.5U to win 3.43U – Thiago Santos ITD @ +137 – Win
1.5U to win 1.65U – Oliveira/Merritt O1.5 @ +115 – Win
1U to win 1.18U – Over 3.5 TKOs @ +118 – Win
0.5U to win 2.13U – Machida/Romero FOTN @ +425 – Loss
0.5U to win 1.75U – Tony Sims via T/KO @ +350 – Win
Event Total: +9.51U

Legacy FC 42

1.05U to win 1U – Larry Crowe @ -105 – Loss
Event Total: -1.05U

Bellator 139

1U to win 4.5U – Hisaki Kato @ +450 – Win
Event Total: +4.5U

UFC Fight Night 69/Bellator 138

3U to win 2U – Nick Hein @ -150 – Win
2.5U to win 2U – Askham/Dos Santos ITD @ -125 – Win
2.06U to win 2U – 2-team Parlay @ -103 (Hein & Straus) – Win
2U to win 3U – Tatsuya Kawajiri @ +150 – Win
2U to win 2.55U – 2-team Parlay @ +128 (Sobotta & Freire/Weichel O2.5) – Loss
2U to win 2.1U – Piotr Hallmann @ +105 – Loss
1U to win 1.15U – Backstrom/Lahat U1.5 @ +115 – Loss
Event Total: +4.0U

UFC 188

4.09U to win 3U – 2-team Parlay @ -136 (Collard & Tumenov) – Loss
2.44U to win 2U – Velasquez/Werdum Over 2.5 – Loss
2.4U to win 2U – 2-team Parlay @ -120 (Rosa & Case) – Loss
2U to win 2.9U – Eddie Alvarez @ +145 – Win
1.65U to win 1U – Cejudo -8.5 @ -165 – Loss
1.3U to win 1U – Montano/Pendred O1.5 – Win
Event Total: -6.68U

UFC Fight Night 68

2.5U to win 3.13U – Francisco Rivera @ +125 – Win
1U to win 1.7U – Jake Collier @ +170 – Win
1U to win 1.5U – 2-team Parlay @ +150 (Tavares & Wade) – Loss
1U to win 1.4U – 2-team Parlay @ +140 (Mitrione & Soto) – Loss
1U to win 1.07U – Not Boetsch ITD @ +107 – Win
0.86U Round Robin (Henderson/Boetsch GTD, Akhmedov Dec, Proctor Dec, Collier) – Loss
0.5U to win 4.69U – Henderson via Decision @ +938 – Loss
0.14U to win 14.51U – Round Robin Legs Parlayed – Loss
Event Total: +2.4U

RFA 26

1.05U to win 1U – Gilbert Smith @ -105 – Win
Event Total: +1.0U

WSOF 21

5.3U to win 1U – Lance Palmer @ -530 – Win
Event Total: +1.0U

UFC Fight Night 67

5U to win 2U – Carlos Condit @ -250 – Win
2.7U to win 2U – Jussier Formiga @ -135 – Win
2.22U to win 2U – 2-team Parlay @ -111 (Condit & Bektic) – Win
2U to win 3.6U – Francisco Trinaldo @ +180 – Win
Event Total: +9.6U

UFC 187

3.89U to win 3U – 2-team Parlay @ -130 (Weidman ITD & Dodson) – Win
2.28U to win 2U – 2-team Parlay @ -114 (Browne & Scoggins -3.5) – Loss
0.5U to win 5.06U – Natal by Decision @ +1012 – Win
0.5U to win 1.0U – Makdessi +3.5 – Loss
Event Total: +5.56U

Cage 30/Superior Challenge 12

1U to win 1.5U – Sean Carter @ +150 – Loss
0.5U to win 1.43U – Alex Rodrigues @ +285 – Win
0.5U to win 0.8U – Joachim Christensen @ +160 – Win
Event Total: +1.23U

UFC Fight Night 66

3U to win 5.1U – Li Jingliang @ +170 – Win
1.25U to win 1U – Ning Guangyou @ -125 – Win
1U to win 3.96U – 5-team Parlay @ +396 (Lansberg, Barnatt ITD, Not Magny ITD, Not Lima ITD, Not Wee ITD) – Loss
1U to win 1.35U – Tae Hyun Bang @ +135 – Loss
1U to win 1.21U – 3-team Parlay @ +121 (Bielkheden, Lansberg, Not Magny ITD) – Loss
1U to win 1.1U – Hyun Gyu Lim @ +110 – Loss
0.5U to win 1.63U – Mark Eddiva @ +325 – Loss
Event Total: +1.6U

Bellator 137

1U to win 1.8U – Mike Richman @ +180 – Loss
Event Total: -1.0U

UFC Fight Night 65

2.5U to win 2U – Brad Tavares @ -125 – Loss
2U to win 3U – Sean O’Connell @ +150 – Win
2U to win 2.46U – 2-team Parlay @ +123 (Curran & Ozkilic) – Loss
2U to win 2.44U – 2-team Parlay @ +122 (Tavares & Hioki) – Loss
1U Round Robin – Whittaker TKO, Perosh Sub, Hooker Dec, Ellis Dec – Loss
Event Total: -4.5U

UFC 186

7U to win 4U – Quinton Jackson @ -185, -165 – Win
2U to win 4.4U – Chris Clements @ +220 – Loss
2U to win 2.38U – 2-team Parlay @ +119 (Aubin-Mercier, Makdessi/Campbell O2.5) – Loss
1U to win 1.05U – Demetrious Johnson ITD @ +105 – Win
0.86U Round Robin Loses 0.21U – Johnson Sub, Maldonado ITD (vs. Bosse – Cancelled), Campbell Dec, Clements ITD – Loss
0.14U to win 34.92U – 4-team Parlay (Johnson Sub, Maldonado ITD [Cancelled], Campbell Dec, Clements ITD) – Loss
Event Total: +0.70U

UFC on Fox 15

4.7U to win 4U – Patrick Cummins @ -140, -120, -105 x2 – Loss
3U to win 4U – George Sullivan @ +115, +130, +155 – Loss
2.65U to win 2U – Cub Swanson @ -145, -120 – Loss
1.6U to win 1U – Diego Brandao @ -160 – Win
1.4U to win 1U – Beneil Dariush @ -140 – Win
0.86U Round Robin – Van Zant Dec, Dariush ITD, Sullivan Dec, Brandao Dec – Loss
0.14U to win 22.89U – 4-team Parlay (Van Zant Dec, Dariush ITD, Sullivan Dec, Brandao Dec) – Loss
Event Total: -9.35U

UFC Fight Night 64

3U to win 3.07U – 2-team Parlay @ +102 (Stevie Ray, Nick Newell) – Win
2.13U to win 2U – 2-team Parlay (Calderwood -3.5, Justin Lawrence) – Loss
1U Round Robin wins 0.1UMirko Filipovic, Jan Blachowicz, Anthony Hamilton, Rocky Lee – Win
0.86U Round Robin – Baczynski Dec, Stasiak Sub, Hamilton Dec, Lee Dec – Loss
0.14U to win 139.59U – 4-team Parlay (Baczynski Dec, Stasiak Sub, Hamilton Dec, Lee Dec) – Loss
Event Total: +0.04U

Bellator 136

2U to win 2.5U – Marcin Held @ +125 – Win
1.2U to win 1U – Joe Schilling @ -120 – Loss
1U to win 1.05U – Brian Rogers @ +105 – Loss
0.5U to win 2.25U – Dave Jansen @ +450 – Loss
Event Total: -0.2U

RFA 25

1U to win 1.55U – Gabriel Checco @ +155 – Loss
Event Total: -1.0U

UFC Fight Night 63

3U to win 2.5U – Jorge Masvidal @ -120 – Loss
2.5U to win 2.3U – 2-team Parlay @ -108 (Pena & Guida) – Win
2.1U to win 2U – Liz Carmouche @ -105 – Win
2U to win 2.1U – Gray Maynard @ +105 – Loss
1U Round Robin – Guida Sub, Pena Sub, Abdurahimov Dec, Jones Dec – Loss
Event Total: -1.7U

Legacy FC 41

1U to win 1.25U – Justin Rader @ +125 – Loss
Event Total: -1.0U

WSOF 19

2U to win 5.7U – Luis Palomino @ +285 (1U at +220, 1U at +350) – Loss
Event Total: -2.0U

Bellator 135

1.6U to win 1U – Joe Warren @ -160 – Loss
1U to win 1.4U – Joe Warren via Decision @ +140 – Loss
0.5U to win 1.55U – 3-team Parlay @ +310 (Warren/Galvao O3.5, Carmont/Viana O1.5, Couture/Cochrane O1.5) – Loss
Event Total: -3.1U

UFC Fight Night 62

2U to win 3U – Leonardo Santos @ +150 – Win
1U to win 1.6U – Fredy Serrano @ +160 – Win
1U to win 1U – 3-team Parlay @ +100 (Silva, Burns, Trinaldo) – Win
0.1U to win 0.57U – Shayna Baszler @ +570 – Loss
Event Total: +5.5U

Titan FC 33/Legacy FC 40

1U to win 1.7U – Kurt Holobaugh @ +170 – Win
1U to win 1.7U – Kurt Kinser @ +170 – Loss
1U to win 1.32U – 2-team Parlay @ +132 (Johns & Vitkay) – Win
Event Total: +2.02U

UFC 185

4.1U to win 2U – Anthony Pettis ITD @ -205 – Loss
2.8U to win 2U – Daron Cruickshank @ -140 – Loss
2.6U to win 2U – Carla Esparza @ -130 – Loss
1.55U to win 1U – Rosholt/Copeland O1.5 @ -155 – Win
1.5U to win 1U – Duffy/Lindsay O1.5 @ -150 – Loss
1U to win 1U – Overeem/Nelson O1.5 @ +100 – Win
1U to win 1.2U – Pettis/Dos Anjos U2.5 @ +120 – Loss
0.5U to win 1.6U – Nelson R1 @ +320 – Loss
0.5U to win 1.54U – Overeem Dec @ +307 – Win
0.25U to win 2.31U – Benoit T/KO @ +925 – Win
Event Total: -6.65U

CES MMA 28

0.5U to win 2U – Derek Loffer @ +400 – Loss
Event Total: -0.5U

UFC 184

2U to win 3.8U – Raquel Pennington +3.5 – Win
1U to win 2.4U – Roman Salazar @ +240 – No Contest
1U to win 1.8U – Josh Koscheck @ +180 – Loss
1U to win 1.15U – Dhiego Lima @ +115 – Loss
1U Round Robin – Rousey R1, Koscheck Sub, Walsh Dec, Tibau DecLoss
0.33U to win 1.67U – Ronda Rousey in 1st Minute – Win
0.33U to win 1.67U – Ronda Rousey in 2nd Minute – Loss
0.33U to win 1.92U – Ronda Rousey in 3rd Minute – Loss
Event Total: +1.8U

Cage 29

1U Round Robin nets 0.87U  – Grechico, Danho, Piednoir, Surin – Win
Event Total: +0.87U

Legacy FC 39

0.5U to win 1.4U – Larry Crowe @ +280 – Loss
Event Total: -0.5U

Invicta FC 11

0.5U to win 1.93U – Norma Rueda-Center @ +385 – Loss
Event Total: -0.5U

Bellator 134

1.2U to win 1U – Cheick Kongo @ -120 – Loss
1U to win 1.55U – Emanuel Newton @ +155 – Loss
Event Total: -2.2U

UFC Fight Night 61

2.5U to win 5U – Michael Johnson @ +200 – Win
2U to win 2.24U – 2-team Parlay @ +112 (Strickland & Macario) – Loss
0.5U to win 3.63U – Frankie Saenz @ +725 – Win
0.5U to win 2.43U – Frank Mir by T/KO @ +485 – Win
Event Total: +9.06U

UFC Fight Night 60

3.34U to win 2U – 2-team Parlay @ -167 (Holloway & Borg) – Win
2U to win 3.4U – Benson Henderson @ +170 – Win
2U to win 2.9U – Tim Elliott @ +145 – Loss
1U to win 1.08U – 2-team Parlay @ +108 (Lee/Prazeres O2.5 & Skelly/Alers O2.5) – Loss
0.5U to win 3.0U – Thatch in Round 2 – Loss
0.5U to win 2.5U – Thatch in Round 1 – Loss
Event Total: +1.4U

Bellator 133

1.28U to win 1U – 2-team Parlay @ -213 (Lentz [UFC – Cancelled], Honeycutt, McInnes [WSOF]) – Win
1U to win 2.25U – Melvin Manhoef @ +225 – Loss
Event Total: -0.4U

WSOF 18

1.6U to win 1U – Moraes/Hill O3.5 @ -160 – Win
1.2U to win 1U – Mukai Maromo @ -120 – Cancelled
Event Total: +1.0U

RFA 23

1U to win 1.85U – Terrion Ware @ +185 – Win
1U to win 1.4U – Jamal Parks @ +140 – Loss
1U to win 1.19U – 2-team Parlay @ +119 (Henle & Waters) – Loss
Event Total: -0.15U

UFC 183

3U to win 4.44U – 2-team Parlay @ +148 (McMann & McCall) – Loss
3.5U to win 2U – Sara McMann @ -175 – Loss
2.33U to win 2U – 2-team Parlay @ -117 (Brunson & Alcantara) – Win
1.1U to win 1U – Tyron Woodley @ -110 – Win
1U to win 4.35U – Nick Diaz @ +435 – Loss
1U to win 1.5U – Joe Lauzon @ +150 – Loss
1U to win 1.35U – Silva/Diaz O3.5 @ +135 – Win
1U to win 1.3U – 2-team Parlay @ +130 (Watson +3.5 & Brandao/Hettes O1.5) – Loss
0.5U to win 3.58U – Nick Diaz via T/KO @ +715 – Loss
0.5U to win 2.33U – Joe Lauzon via Submission @ +465 – Loss
Event Total: -6.15U

CES MMA 27

1U to win 1.45U – Lucas Cruz @ +145 – Loss
Event Total: -1.0U

UFC on FOX 14

2.9U to win 2U – Corassani/Sicilia Doesn’t Go The Distance @ -145 – Win
2U to win 2.86U – 2-team Parlay @ +143 (Ogle & Davis/Bader Decision) – Loss
1U to win 2.65U – Anthony Johnson @ +265 – Win
1U to win 1.6U – 2-team Parlay @ +160 (Gustafsson/Johnson ITD & Bektic ITD) – Loss
1U Round RobinJohnson TKO, Sicilia R2, Musoke Dec, Bektic R3Loss
0.5U to win 2.75U – Konstantin Erokhin wins Fastest KO @ +550 – Loss
Event Total: +0.15U

UFC Fight Night 59

4.05U to win 3U – Gleison Tibau @ -135 – Win
2.1U to win 2U – O’Connell/Van Buren UNDER 1.5 @ -105 – Loss
2U to win 3.06U – 2-team Parlay @ +153 (Spencer, Freire [Bellator]) – Loss
2U to win 2.1U – 2-team Parlay @ +105 (Wade -3.5 & Larkin/Howard Decision) – Loss
1U to win 1.7U – Hall/Stallings OVER 2.5 @ +170 – Loss
Event Total: -4.1U

Bellator 132

1U to win 1.3U – Virgil Zwicker @ +130 – Win
1U to win 1.15U – Georgi Karakhanyan @ +115 – Win
Event Total: +2.45U

RFA 22

2U to win 3.35U – Donald Sanchez @ +160 and +175 – Loss
1U to win 1.22U – 2-team Parlay @ +122 (Smith & Musgrave) – Loss
Event Total: -3.0U

UFC 182

3.4U to win 2U – Jon Jones @ -170 – Win
2.7U to win 2U – Nate Marquardt @ -135 – Loss
2.52U to win 2U – 2-team Parlay @ -126 (Jones & Horiguchi) – Win
2U to win 3.04U – 2-team Parlay @ +152 (Jones & Dufresne) – Loss
1U Round RobinJury Dec, Castillo Sub, Cannonier ITD, Nilsson SubLoss
0.5U to win 4.23U – Jones via Submission @ +846 – Loss
Event Total: -2.2U

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UFC 159 Picks & Bets

Jon JonesI haven’t had a chance to get my picks and bets posted here prior to the fights starting for a couple of events now. I’ve been busy over at MMA Oddsbreaker (if you don’t follow the site regularly, you should do that thing as there is a ton of great betting content over there). However, I’m on vacation for the next week from my full-time job, so I’ve got some extra time to get all my picks and plays on paper for this event.

The event itself really isn’t terribly intriguing, and the from my perspective the betting opportunities aren’t particularly ripe either. Still, I’m a degenerate, so I’ve managed to get some plays in on this card anyways. I took a bit of a different approach to this card, with a lot of very small bets on specific outcomes at high + numbers rather than my normal straight bets. Read on for my picks and bets. Read More…

tazmma Flashback: Why St-Pierre vs. Diaz Doesn’t Excite Me

Georges St Pierre21 months ago, a fight between Georges St-Pierre and Nick Diaz was announced. MMA fans seemed to explode with joy at the announcement.

“Diaz will bring the fight to GSP!”
“Don’t be scared Georges!”
“Finally! A new champion at welterweight!”

These are some of the responses that were characteristic of MMA fans at the time. St-Pierre was coming off of decisions against Jake Shields, Josh Koscheck, Dan Hardy and Thiago Alves. Nick Diaz had just come over to the UFC after what many considered the ‘Round of the Year’ against Paul Daley. In many fans’ eyes, Diaz’s stock had never been higher and St-Pierre’s had never been lower. People were jacked. I was not. Why?

As I’ve said many times before, and will continue to, I watch MMA for the fights. Not for the hype, not for the characters and not for the stories. Those things can all add to a fight, but they can’t make it. To me, St-Pierre and Diaz is not an interesting fight. That is not to say both are not good fighters, because Georges St-Pierre is probably one of the three greatest fighters in MMA history and Nick Diaz is a proven top 10 welterweight who is one of the most exciting fighters in MMA when faced with the right opponent. St-Pierre is not that opponent. Diaz has always struggled against strong grapplers due to a combination of his mediocre takedown defence and his inability to make adjustments in the middle of fights. St-Pierre is perhaps the most stifling top position grappler MMA has ever seen, and the most effective wrestler in the sport today. That does not bode well for Diaz, whose four losses in his first UFC stint were all by decision, and all due in large part to his opponents being able to obtain top position against him.

Anyways, enough about me stealing my own thunder. Here is the full version of the article I posted, with square parentheses added to make the context of 2011 make sense:

UFC 137Today [June 2, 2011] it was announced that “Business as usual” really means “We’re going to do whatever the hell we want with Strikeforce, deal with it.” This announcement came right about the same time that the Georges St-Pierre-Nick Diaz bout was officially booked for UFC 137 this October [how did that work out, anyways?]. I’ve read and heard many people get extremely excited about this fight, but I’m not one of them. I’ve been asked why, and the answer is simple; Nick Diaz isn’t a threat to St-Pierre’s title. Keep reading to find out why.

The first thing I should make clear is that this is no way, shape, or form a bad fight. St-Pierre is either the best or second best fighter on the planet, depending on who you ask [remember, this is prior to Jon Jones completing his amazing 2011 campaign]. Diaz is a legitimate top 5 Welterweight [although I now have him ranked #6] who brings a new stylistic challenge to GSP [this was also prior to Condit, who I felt, even at the time, brought a similar but more dangerous style for St-Pierre]. The problem is that the style Nick brings isn’t one that is likely to trouble the UFC champion. Despite having a dangerous striking game and a dangerous guard, Diaz will be limited by what has always limited him, his wrestling game and inability to adapt. Part of Diaz’s wrestling issues stem from the fact that he’s not a good wrestler to begin with, but a bigger issue is that there are times when Nick resigns himself to the fate that he’s not a stellar wrestler and is too willing to fight off of his back. If Diaz gives Georges the opportunity to take him down with ease and then makes no effort to get up, he’ll spend 90% of this fight on his back. We just saw once again at UFC 130 that regardless of what a fighter does from his back, it’s miraculous if he wins a decision [this reference is to the Miguel Torres/Demetrious Johnson bout], and with a grappler as skilled as St-Pierre in top position, it will be difficult to get anything going.

This dynamic will likely lead to Diaz pandering to the referee and crowd for stand ups that he will be unlikely to get. It will also serve to further alienate St-Pierre from fans who are already beginning to tire of his style of dominance [with St-Pierre’s injury absence, and the reception to the Condit bout this isn’t such a big concern anymore]. With Brock Lesnar out of action for the foreseeable future [i.e. forever], the UFC does not need their biggest active star turned into a villain. Especially not by a fighter viewed by them as a loose cannon, and someone who has been difficult to deal with in the past [based on recent history and the UFC 137 incident, probably an accurate assessment].

Nick Diaz is an entertaining character in his own right, and many MMA fans love him (many hate him as well), but the fact remains that St-Pierre is a better champion to have for the UFC to continue to grow into the mainstream. Diaz’s crass attitude and willingness to step away from the sport at any given time mean that the UFC would constantly have to be walking on eggshells with him, something they historically have been unable to do. Furthermore, Diaz’s persona would not go over well with mainstream media outlets like St-Pierre’s does. While fans have made a running joke out of Georges’ pre-fight interviews [people has no idea how dark he is in his head sometimes], those are the types of superficial responses many media outlets clamour for.

Nick DiazWhile I know that many fans – whether they like Diaz or not – want to see the [former] Strikeforce champion win, I believe his wrestling and tactical limitations will cause him to lose a rather tepid decision. It is also likely a better scenario for the sport’s long-term growth for GSP to retain his title, regardless of the fashion or the resulting stagnancy in the Welterweight division [not such a big issue with Johny Hendricks on the horizon] simply due to what he brings to the table in terms of marketability. More people will tune in to watch a boring St-Pierre fight for $60 than are willing to watch Diaz for free [a reference to GSP’s PPV buys compared to Diaz’s Strikeforce ratings]. That is very telling, and while the UFC has made this fight out of an absence of challengers at 170 [back in 2011 this was the case… in 2013 they made it because the organization no longer cares about the sporting aspect of MMA and instead is focused on pure entertainment], you can bet that they would prefer to see their champion’s hand raised at the end of the night.

I feel like I can already see the entire buildup and this actual fight playing out in my head. Diaz will try to provoke in interviews and pre-fight showdowns, St-Pierre will not respond [although Dana White will make unsubstantiated claims about Georges “flipping out”], other than claiming he is the best he’s ever been, Diaz is his most dangerous challenger, and he guarantees that this time WILL be different, he will stop Diaz. Then we’ll see five rounds of the durable Diaz being unable to do anything to St-Pierre, and at the end of the night there will be renewed discussion about how boring Georges is, and how the sport is being ruined by wrestlers.

Honestly, can’t say I’m excited for it.

So there you have it. While people may be bitching about this fight because Diaz doesn’t deserve it (he doesn’t) or because it’s the fashionable thing to do, some of us have been singing the same tune for nearly two years now. This fight, as a fight, isn’t interesting. If Diaz comes out and puts a beating on St-Pierre, I’ll be happy to say I was wrong, but I seriously doubt that’s what is going to take place next Saturday night.

UFC on Fuel TV 8 Takeaways, Betting Recap

Silva StannAlright, there’s going to be an emerging trend in this takeaways article, so I’m going to throw it out there right now. I have re-named “UFC on Fuel TV 8” as “UFC: What the $#@! Were You Thinking?!” due to the all-around stupidity exhibited on the card from fighters, referees, judges and everyone else involved. I’m not exempt from this epidemic either, so you’ll have some self-effacing quips to look forward to as well.

Overall, UFC: What the $#@! Were You Thinking?! was a very strange card. at one point there was a run of eight consecutive decisions on the card, and I think if you bet the ‘Over’ on each fight on tonight’s card you would have gone either 10 of 11, or a perfect 11 of 11 (I don’t remember if Lim/Guimares O/U was set at 1.5 or 2.5). For any MMA event, nevermind one featuring some of the dynamic finishers this card had, that’s just odd.

Normally on these articles I start from the top and work my way down to the prelims, but this time I’ll be working in reverse, as the ‘What the $#@! Were You Thinking” quotient increased as the night went on. Read More…

UFC on Fuel TV 8 Picks & Bets

UFC on Fuel TV 8This Saturday marks the UFC’s return to Japan, which is looking to be a more frequent occurrence after the organization saw some success with UFC 144 last February. Unlike the previous card featuring a Lightweight Title fight between Frankie Edgar and Benson Henderson, this card caters a little more directly to the Japanese fans. The top three fights on the card feature former Pride FC standouts, and the remainder of the event showcases some of the best Asian fighters, and some of the better Asian prospects in the sport today. Although the card is taking place in Japan, there is quite the emphasis on Korean fighters as the UFC is still trying to break into that new market.

Let’s run down the card and see if we can’t find some value: Read More…

UFC 157 Picks & Bets

Ronda RouseyYou can’t hold a good man down for long, as evidenced by both a picking (8-4) and betting (+2.9U) resurgence on UFC on Fuel 7. Those results have me in a good mood despite UFC 157 not being the most intriguing fight card in the world. Let me be clear, I watch MMA because I enjoy watching fights. Especially highly skilled fighters squaring off against one another in competitive bouts.

My contention with UFC 157 is that the fight which has become the sole focus of this card is not a competitive fight. I treat Women’s MMA just like Men’s MMA. When the fights are intriguing, I will be intrigued. When they’re not, I won’t be. If Ronda Rousey was fighting Cristiane Santos or Alexis Davis, I’d be hooked. However, she is fighting Liz Carmouche, and the allure of this being the first female fight in the UFC isn’t enough to draw me in when the fight is so unevenly matched.

Women’s MMA is nothing new to MMA fans, which probably explains the gap between MMA fans and the mainstream media in terms of interest in this card. Media sources which only follow the UFC see this as the first Women’s fight, and as such are treating it as something new and fascinating. MMA fans have already seen Rousey face better fighters in Miesha Tate and Sarah Kaufmann, and as such are treating this as a showcase. Your perception of this card is likely shaped by which group you fall into. Before we get to that main event, there are 11 other fights on the docket, so let’s take a look: Read More…

UFC 157 Anti-Breakdown: Ronda Rousey vs. Liz Carmouche

UFC 157Thus far in 2013 I’ve made a habit of breaking down the major main events, and I’ve had fairly good success doing so. I had planned on continuing that trend throughout the year, but the headliner of UFC 157 presents a special dilemma to anyone who looks at fights for their competitive balance.

In the near decade that I have watched MMA, I don’t think I’ve ever come across a main event which has been more hyped for everything except the fight. I’ve still yet to read an article that actually breaks down the fight from a technical perspective, and for a main event of a major UFC card which is mere days away from happening, that is very strange. In fact, I’ve come across far more discussion about the Dan Henderson/Lyoto Machida co-main event than Rousey/Carmouche.

Read More…